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With existing facilities and activities identified, the next component is to forecast future activity at the airport. Forecasts are typically completed for three periods (0 to 5 years, 6 to 10 years, and 11 to 20 years) and project both the number of total operations and number of based aircraft. Utilizing the forecasts of aviation activity, a demand/capacity analysis will be completed to determine if the existing airport infrastructure will be sufficient in the future. This analysis generally follows FAA safety and design criteria, as well as ADOT standards for Arizona airports.
Based on the results of the demand/capacity analysis and recommended facility requirements, airport development alternatives will be prepared that address any deficiencies that are identified. These alternatives will examine options to improve facilities using a set of criteria including environmental and financial factors. At the conclusion of the alternatives analysis, a preferred airport development plan will be prepared to reflect the alternative that best helps the airport achieve its goals and meet future demand. The preferred airport development plan will be graphically depicted in an airport layout plan (ALP). The ALP depicts the current and future airport layouts and includes plans to address airspace requirements and obstructions. The ALP can be considered the “blue print” for development at Douglas Municipal Airport.
A specific component of the Douglas Municipal Airport Master Plan is the development of a Business Plan. The Business Plan will analyze opportunities for the airport to generate additional revenue that will contribute to its financial sustainability. The Business Plan is intended to be a short-term implementation document, while the Master Plan Update identifies long-term goals and developments for the Airport.